Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.166181 0.192292 0.221129 0.255338 0.294815 0.338946 0.392037
2025-10-26 0.124708 0.159601 0.202108 0.257693 0.328487 0.415687 0.531358
2025-11-02 0.100334 0.137723 0.186477 0.254698 0.347740 0.470311 0.644295
2025-11-09 0.082010 0.119206 0.170486 0.246322 0.355697 0.507909 0.736252
2025-11-16 0.072466 0.110691 0.165988 0.251778 0.381641 0.571142 0.869349
2025-11-23 0.063989 0.102185 0.159875 0.253302 0.400983 0.625823 0.995108
2025-11-30 0.057707 0.095969 0.156078 0.257310 0.423773 0.687203 1.137080
2025-12-07 0.050660 0.087485 0.147490 0.252286 0.431040 0.724252 1.243442
2025-12-14 0.045120 0.080716 0.140733 0.249178 0.440608 0.765323 1.360081
2025-12-21 0.041429 0.076617 0.137889 0.252204 0.460614 0.825466 1.515366
2025-12-28 0.039505 0.075394 0.139819 0.263718 0.496604 0.916656 1.735225
2026-01-04 0.037167 0.073096 0.139497 0.270949 0.525337 0.997432 1.944246
2026-01-11 0.034821 0.070571 0.138588 0.277194 0.553350 1.080627 2.168908
2026-01-18 0.032242 0.067288 0.135882 0.279664 0.574380 1.152911 2.380859
2026-01-25 0.029337 0.062980 0.130653 0.276415 0.583478 1.202560 2.552484
2026-02-01 0.026190 0.057783 0.123033 0.267328 0.579448 1.225186 2.670420
2026-02-08 0.024788 0.056146 0.122577 0.273248 0.607546 1.316532 2.943545
2026-02-15 0.023143 0.053776 0.120291 0.274901 0.626504 1.390339 3.186316
2026-02-22 0.021870 0.052089 0.119290 0.279249 0.651803 1.480205 3.474296
2026-03-01 0.019980 0.048752 0.114243 0.273798 0.654180 1.519437 3.650618
2026-03-08 0.018423 0.046021 0.110283 0.270427 0.660975 1.569220 3.856806
2026-03-15 0.017441 0.044576 0.109168 0.273710 0.683927 1.658623 4.167403
2026-03-22 0.017091 0.044662 0.111713 0.286202 0.730623 1.808825 4.643049